Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 856.752885 970.800079 1098.697096 1253.584402 1437.187213 1649.255810 1914.729156
2025-04-06 668.936972 811.084530 985.088880 1216.850042 1522.190671 1917.611133 2480.078878
2025-04-13 563.703920 711.634554 902.582597 1172.505734 1553.293023 2085.846424 2914.619297
2025-04-20 517.249413 676.279804 891.348471 1212.083001 1694.025422 2419.178037 3652.224792
2025-04-27 473.843983 637.309978 866.941076 1224.988623 1792.691692 2703.277807 4380.862180
2025-05-04 439.592870 606.010537 847.733598 1239.955910 1893.096675 3005.250115 5218.961967
2025-05-11 409.818725 577.308113 827.873107 1249.227610 1982.999849 3304.150682 6137.074279
2025-05-18 392.362499 564.741395 830.367306 1293.586483 2138.545292 3752.495464 7506.395943
2025-05-25 373.355881 547.594842 823.177212 1319.617892 2264.127510 4169.978296 8961.972765
2025-06-01 352.658455 525.682664 805.588772 1324.370824 2349.077403 4522.356908 10399.817018
2025-06-08 332.999971 503.643940 785.376219 1321.270159 2417.101986 4852.887303 11922.218559
2025-06-15 320.156786 491.671234 780.997928 1346.806032 2548.060446 5360.105384 14203.589647
2025-06-22 296.807628 460.877184 742.006641 1303.083094 2527.985988 5509.909550 15491.645731
2025-06-29 276.225699 433.448808 706.899557 1263.443003 2511.867117 5670.855445 16934.678372
2025-07-06 256.808629 406.638769 670.611983 1217.093341 2472.503935 5760.437089 18178.849601
2025-07-13 250.772632 402.860557 676.415228 1258.573181 2649.219760 6506.667155 22592.900913
2025-07-20 241.676676 392.892207 669.573402 1272.112750 2759.864717 7096.739297 26861.528671
2025-07-27 233.539614 384.055072 664.073141 1287.813561 2879.338090 7757.715565 32158.453906
2025-08-03 225.347374 374.529238 656.368479 1297.541211 2985.094482 8414.024745 38209.916311
2025-08-10 221.529976 372.890247 664.192024 1344.093939 3203.281782 9559.220841 48955.308140
2025-08-17 215.969494 367.530995 663.936564 1371.422470 3372.667196 10601.539720 60885.592722
2025-08-24 208.677195 358.349224 654.983224 1376.412998 3476.468174 11431.682588 72824.450680
2025-08-31 201.142998 348.233201 643.273884 1373.157307 3554.512302 12193.116868 85938.253098